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Indlæser... Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets 2nd (second) edition (original 2001; udgave 2008)af Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Forfatter)
Work InformationFooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets af Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2001)
Indlæser...
Bliv medlem af LibraryThing for at finde ud af, om du vil kunne lide denne bog. Der er ingen diskussionstråde på Snak om denne bog. 260 pages of sarcasm is more than I can stand, all to tell us that Wall Street can predict everything except the unpredictable. ( ) Taleb’s toeval is een bespreking van het eerste deel uit zijn Incerto reeks, ‘Misleid door toeval’. En gelijk de beste. Ik las het 15 jaar geleden ook al eens en was benieuwd wat er was blijven hangen. Het antwoord daarop is paradoxaal: zowel heel veel als heel weinig. Veel, omdat het meeste wat ik las inmiddels wel gemeengoed is in het vakgebied. Weinig, omdat ik bij sommige stukken dacht het echt voor de eerste keer te lezen, zo onbekend kwam het mij voor. Zoals de waarschuwing van Solon. Een uitstekende metafoor voor Taleb’s toeval. Lees hier de hele recensie https://www.rizoomes.nl/risicomanagement/talebs-toeval-een-boekrecensie/ My god, what a bothersome windbag.He goes on and on telling useless stories and pretending to explain some (very very very basic) Statistics - only exposing his own very high self-regard.
Totally unreadable, which is not strange for a book of >300 pages that could be easily reduced to 10 with gain for everybody (except the author, I guess).
The only good side is the black cat on the cover.
The lesson here for investors is powerful and frightening. How much can you rely on the track records of investment advisers, mutual fund managers, newspaper columnists, or even the market as a whole in making decisions about your investment portfolio? Not nearly as much as you probably think. Belongs to SeriesIncerto (1) Indeholdt iIndeholder elevguideNotable Lists
This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit". Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance. It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. No library descriptions found. |
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Google Books — Indlæser... GenrerMelvil Decimal System (DDC)123.3Philosophy and Psychology Philosophy Of Humanity Chance, Free Will, And Necessity ChanceLC-klassificeringVurderingGennemsnit:
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