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The Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction

af David Orrell

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1113245,180 (3.85)1
For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future. But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events-Hurricane Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak-help us understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? In The Future of Everything, David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future. How can today’s scientists claim to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?… (mere)
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really enjoy the topic and I got some good history, but it was a lot of history. it didn't feel very pointed. ( )
  CassandraT | Sep 23, 2018 |
More a series of long essays than a single volume, Orrell explores several ways humanity has sought to predict the future (astronomy, economics, genetics, etc). Full of fascinating stories, Orrell is able to illustrate how prognostication has always been with us.

The book loses a star for a weak last section, finishing lamely without tying together the rest of the book. ( )
  kaythetall | May 18, 2009 |
Extensively lays out the case that poor predictability in meteorology, genetic diseases, and economics is due not so much to mathematical chaos as to model error. Global climate models, he says, will never yield accurate numbers either, although he's not a climate-change denier. www.apollosarrow.ca
  fpagan | Jun 1, 2007 |
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For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future. But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events-Hurricane Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak-help us understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? In The Future of Everything, David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future. How can today’s scientists claim to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?

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